Research Projects

Predictive Safety Analytics

Conduct research toward the creation of a report that provides recommendations to airports on the data that can be used in a proactive and predictive way, providing airport decision makers with information to make safety decisions to prevent accidents.

Background (Describe the current situation or problem in the industry, and how your idea would address it.)

Airports collect information daily. It is often heard in discussions with airport managers that so much data exists and that managers do not know half of what is there. When it comes to safety information in aviation, the great majority of data is gathered reactively – meaning that an undesired event needs to occur, followed by an investigation of the event in order to collect usable safety information. Another typical measure of safety performance is to track a time period in which no safety incidents have occurred. The goal of this research would be to analyze the data collected by airports on a regular basis and already for trends that can be correlated to safety outcomes. As an example, does the number of airside driving violations recorded and addressed have a direct relationship to the number of airside driving accidents involving injury, damage, or serious violations? If airport managers were provided with analysis that links available information to safety outcomes, such information could be used in a proactive way to better manage safety performance.
This research would develop methodologies to use existing airport information in a manner that may estimate safety outcomes, or at least provide proactive safety knowledge to decision makers to enhance safety at airports of all sizes. This research would be a follow-on and complementary project to the research performed to develop ACRP Report 19: Developing an Airport Performance-Measurement System; and ACRP Project 03-45: Collecting and Sharing of Operational and Safety Data.

Objective (What is the desired product or result that will help the airport industry?)

A report that provides recommendations to airports on the data that can be used in a proactive and predictive way, providing airport decision makers with information to make safety decisions to prevent accidents.

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Idea No. 354